Valued Customers
| Player | Pos | Slot | Actual | ESPN | LLM | vs LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Williams | WR | RB/WR/TE | ✓ 17.3 | 13.8 | 17.3 | 0.0 |
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | QB | 15.3 | 20.0 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | RB | 16.4 | 15.0 |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | RB | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | WR | 20.9 | 18.0 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | WR | 17.1 | 16.0 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | TE | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| Jason Myers | K | K | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 6.8 | 8.0 |
| Emanuel Wilson (bench) | RB | BE | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| Hunter Henry (bench) | TE | BE | 0.0 | --- |
| Jordan Love (bench) | QB | BE | 17.6 | 16.5 |
| Keenan Allen (bench) | WR | BE | 10.5 | 8.0 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. (bench) | WR | BE | 0.0 | --- |
| Omarion Hampton (bench) | RB | BE | 12.1 | --- |
| Tetairoa McMillan (bench) | WR | BE | 0.0 | 11.0 |
| Player | Pos | Slot | Actual | ESPN | LLM | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Aubrey | K | K | ✓ 24.0 | 8.9 | 8.9 | +15.1 |
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | QB | 17.9 | 20.1 |
| Nick Chubb | RB | RB | 5.3 | 7.5 |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | RB | 3.2 | 7.8 |
| Keon Coleman | WR | WR | 6.7 | 9.2 |
| Malik Washington | WR | WR | 8.4 | 8.2 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | TE | 10.0 | 9.6 |
| DJ Moore | WR | RB/WR/TE | 12.8 | 11.9 |
| Vikings D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 5.2 | 6.3 |
| Chris Boswell (bench) | K | BE | 7.9 | --- |
| Christian McCaffrey (bench) | RB | BE | 0.0 | --- |
| J.J. McCarthy (bench) | QB | BE | 14.7 | --- |
| Packers D/ST (bench) | D/ST | BE | 3.7 | --- |
| Ray Davis (bench) | RB | BE | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (bench) | RB | BE | 0.0 | --- |
| Sam LaPorta (bench) | TE | BE | 0.0 | --- |
Week 14 presents a favorable matchup against Meat Pistols despite trailing 24.0-17.3 after Thursday. Jacoby Brissett headlines as our top play, having scored 18+ points in all seven starts for Arizona - we're trusting his consistency over Jordan Love's cold weather risk at Lambeau (15°F, wind chill near zero). JSN leads the NFL in receiving yards and faces a Falcons defense that's allowed the 5th-most WR points since Week 9. Bucky Irving returns to a full workload against New Orleans, who've surrendered 100+ rushing yards to four different backs this season. Our projected 122.3 points gives us a comfortable 44-point edge if actualized.
| Slot | Player | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jacoby Brissett | LAR | 15.3 | 20.0 | BOOM | HIGH |
| RB | Bucky Irving | NO | 16.4 | 15.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| RB | Tyjae Spears | CLE | 8.6 | 9.0 | MODERATE | LOW |
| WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | ATL | 20.9 | 18.0 | MODERATE | HIGH |
| WR | Rashee Rice | HOU | 17.1 | 16.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| FLEX | Jameson Williams | DAL | 16.9 | 17.3 | BOOM | ACTUAL |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | TB | 9.7 | 10.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| K | Jason Myers | ATL | 8.3 | 9.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| D/ST | Rams D/ST | ARI | 6.8 | 8.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
QB: Start Jacoby Brissett over Jordan Love - Brissett 18+ pts in ALL 7 starts vs Love's cold weather risk (15F, wind chill near 0). Consistency wins.
WR: Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Keenan Allen - JSN is NFL receiving yards leader (1,336). Allen has 63% bust rate and Herbert injury risk.
FLEX: Start Jameson Williams over Tetairoa McMillan - Williams ALREADY SCORED 17.3 pts Thursday. McMillan is bench-caliber rookie.
| Player | Pos | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Myers | K | 8.3 | 9.0 | MODERATE | 44.9% | 34.9% | 20.2% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | --- | 0.0 | BUST | 36.7% | 43.8% | 19.5% |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 17.1 | 16.0 | MODERATE | 33.6% | 35.1% | 31.3% |
| Jordan Love | QB | 17.6 | 16.5 | MODERATE | 26.6% | 50.8% | 22.6% |
| Evan Engram | TE | 8.1 | 6.0 | BUST | 25.3% | 49.2% | 25.5% |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 9.7 | 10.0 | MODERATE | 24.1% | 47.2% | 28.7% |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 15.3 | 20.0 | BOOM | 23.1% | 44.4% | 32.4% |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | 8.6 | 9.0 | MODERATE | 17.3% | 47.0% | 35.7% |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | 6.1 | 6.0 | BUST | 13.3% | 37.0% | 49.7% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 20.9 | 18.0 | MODERATE | 11.4% | 64.5% | 24.0% |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | --- | 11.0 | MODERATE | 11.1% | 36.6% | 52.3% |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 12.1 | 0.0 | BUST | 11.0% | 32.3% | 56.7% |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 16.9 | 17.3 | BOOM | 10.7% | 38.1% | 51.2% |
| Keenan Allen | WR | 10.5 | 8.0 | BUST | 10.5% | 35.9% | 53.6% |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | 6.8 | 8.0 | MODERATE | 9.5% | 29.0% | 61.5% |
| Bucky Irving | RB | 16.4 | 15.0 | MODERATE | 9.1% | 37.0% | 53.9% |
| Hunter Henry | TE | --- | 0.0 | BUST | 8.7% | 31.2% | 60.1% |
Projections: ESPN 17.6 | LLM 16.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 29% BUST, 47% MOD, 24% BOOM. XGB: 28% boom, 24% bust. Love has 2+ TDs in 3 of last 6. vs CHI (22nd vs passing). BUT SEVERE WEATHER: 15F kickoff, wind chill near 0, snow possible. Cold weather risk. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 16.5 pts (within [9-24]).
Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 22 | ECR: 12
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%
XGB (This Week): Boom 27% | Bust 23% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 17.4 | 7.1 | ? | -10.4 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 16.3 | 17.7 | ? | +1.3 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 17.0 | 7.8 | ? | -9.1 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 18.1 | 9.0 | ? | -9.1 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 17.1 | 28.3 | ? | +11.2 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 17.4 | 13.4 | ? | -4.0 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 19.3 | 15.0 | ? | -4.4 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 18.6 | 26.3 | ? | +7.7 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 16.0 | 11.1 | ? | -4.9 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 17.6 | 20.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 14.9 | 15.9 | ? | +1.0 |
Projections: ESPN 15.3 | LLM 20.0 (BOOM)
Reasoning: MC: 70% BOOM (historical, range 16-28). XGB: 23% boom, 32% bust (MEDIUM). LLM DISAGREES with XGB - Brissett has 18+ pts in ALL 7 starts, 300+ yds in 3 straight. LAR gave up 22.5 pts to Bryce Young. Despite XGB caution, historical consistency dominates. Mode: BOOM. Projection: 20.0 pts (within [16-28]).
Context: O/U: 47.5 | Def Rank: 7 | ECR: 10
MC (Historical): BUST: 24% | MODERATE: 5% | BOOM: 70%
XGB (This Week): Boom 23% | Bust 32% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 16.7 | 18.7 | ? | +1.9 |
Projections: ESPN 16.4 | LLM 15.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 17% BUST, 61% MOD, 22% BOOM. XGB: 9% boom, 54% bust (MEDIUM). XGB shows high bust risk but vs NO (26th vs RB). 4 RBs have 100+ yds vs Saints. Irving had 81 total yds, TD in return. Trusting matchup over XGB bust signal. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 15.0 pts (within [8-20]).
Context: O/U: 42.5 | Def Rank: 26 | ECR: 15
MC (Historical): BUST: 17% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 22%
XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 54% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 17.5 | 25.5 | ? | +8.0 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 17.9 | 13.9 | ? | -4.0 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 15.9 | 18.1 | ? | +2.2 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 17.3 | 14.5 | ? | -2.8 |
Projections: ESPN 8.6 | LLM 9.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 20% BUST, 61% MOD, 18% BOOM. XGB: 17% boom, 36% bust. Spears in timeshare but Tony Pollard questionable. CLE 9th vs RB - tough matchup. Projected 9.0 for floor. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 9.0 pts (within [5-14]).
Context: O/U: 38.0 | Def Rank: 9
MC (Historical): BUST: 20% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 18%
XGB (This Week): Boom 17% | Bust 36% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 9.6 | 6.5 | ? | -3.1 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 9.0 | 8.4 | ? | -0.6 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 9.5 | 9.2 | ? | -0.3 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 9.5 | 17.2 | ? | +7.7 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 7.8 | 7.0 | ? | -0.8 |
Projections: ESPN 12.1 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: Hampton practiced FULL Friday per Reddit. BUT traded from CAR to LAC mid-season. Still working into offense. vs KC. Mode: BUST until clearer role. Projection: 0.0 pts (IR status).
Context: O/U: 40.5 | Def Rank: Unk | ECR: 25
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 31%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 57% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 6.1 | LLM 6.0 (BUST)
Reasoning: MC: 49% BUST, 29% MOD, 23% BOOM. XGB: 13% boom, 50% bust. Wilson is RB3 behind Josh Jacobs. SEVERE WEATHER may help run game but limited touches expected. Mode: BUST. Projection: 6.0 pts (within [0-8]).
Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 12
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 29% | BOOM: 23%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 50% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 14.5 | 26.5 | ? | +12.0 |
Projections: ESPN 20.9 | LLM 18.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 34% BUST, 43% MOD, 23% BOOM (range 12-26). XGB: 11% boom, 24% bust. JSN leads NFL in receiving yards (1,336). ATL 15th vs WR but allowed 5th most WR pts since Week 9. Last week's 23 yds was outlier (26-0 blowout). Bounce-back candidate. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 18.0 pts (within [12-26]).
Context: O/U: 43.5 | Def Rank: 15 | ECR: 1
MC (Historical): BUST: 34% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 22%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 24% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 21.3 | 37.1 | ? | +15.8 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 23.0 | 20.6 | ? | -2.4 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 22.0 | 20.3 | ? | -1.7 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 24.5 | 22.0 | ? | -2.5 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 20.0 | 26.3 | ? | +6.3 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 17.9 | 30.2 | ? | +12.3 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 15.9 | 27.2 | ? | +11.3 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 16.4 | 13.0 | ? | -3.4 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 15.5 | 20.6 | ? | +5.1 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 14.4 | 18.3 | ? | +3.9 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 14.7 | 19.4 | ? | +4.7 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 11.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 50% BUST, 33% MOD, 17% BOOM. XGB: 11% boom, 54% bust. With Kyler OUT, Brissett targets McMillan heavily. vs LAR (tough). Young WR still developing. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 11.0 pts (within [7-21]).
Context: O/U: 47.5 | Def Rank: 12
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 52% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 16.3 | 11.5 | ? | -4.8 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 13.5 | 33.0 | ? | +19.5 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 12.2 | 11.0 | ? | -1.2 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 12.9 | 8.6 | ? | -4.3 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 13.4 | 16.9 | ? | +3.5 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 12.5 | 6.3 | ? | -6.2 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 14.6 | 17.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 14.2 | 13.3 | ? | -0.9 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 14.2 | 10.2 | ? | -4.0 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 13.2 | 7.8 | ? | -5.4 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 13.5 | 16.0 | ? | +2.5 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 13.9 | 11.8 | ? | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: MHJ OUT for remainder of 2025 season per reports. Mode: BUST. Projection: 0.0 pts.
Context: O/U: 47.0 | Def Rank: 12 | ECR: 13
MC (Historical): OUT: 100%
XGB (This Week): Boom 37% | Bust 20% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 13.3 | 14.3 | ? | +1.0 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 13.3 | 22.6 | ? | +9.3 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 12.5 | 7.8 | ? | -4.7 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 11.9 | 5.2 | ? | -6.7 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 12.8 | 13.8 | ? | +1.0 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 11.3 | 18.6 | ? | +7.3 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 12.7 | 7.4 | ? | -5.3 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 14.0 | 4.7 | ? | -9.3 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 13.9 | 18.1 | ? | +4.2 |
Projections: ESPN 17.1 | LLM 16.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 25% BUST, 29% MOD, 47% BOOM. XGB: 31% boom, 31% bust (MEDIUM). Rice has 7+ targets in all 6 games since return, 8-92-2 last week. BUT HOU is #2 vs WR with Stingley likely shadowing. Tough matchup dampens BOOM odds. Mode: MODERATE (lower end due to coverage). Projection: 16.0 pts (within [10-22]).
Context: O/U: 42.5 | Def Rank: 2 | ECR: 6
MC (Historical): BUST: 24% | MODERATE: 29% | BOOM: 47%
XGB (This Week): Boom 34% | Bust 31% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 17.6 | 24.1 | ? | +6.5 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 16.4 | 9.8 | ? | -6.6 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 18.4 | 18.6 | ? | +0.2 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 17.2 | 25.5 | ? | +8.2 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 13.7 | 23.2 | ? | +9.5 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 16.9 | LLM 17.3 (BOOM)
Reasoning: Thursday game COMPLETED. Actual: 17.3 pts. Game result preserved.
Context: O/U: 54.5 | Def Rank: 30 | ECR: 16
MC (Historical): BUST: 33% | MODERATE: 41% | BOOM: 26%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 51% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 12.9 | 0.0 | ? | -12.9 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 12.6 | 19.7 | ? | +7.1 |
Projections: ESPN 10.5 | LLM 8.0 (BUST)
Reasoning: MC: 63% BUST, 26% MOD, 11% BOOM. XGB: 10% boom, 54% bust. Allen has 63% historical bust rate. Herbert injured (wrist surgery), may not play. If Trey Lance starts, massive downgrade. Mode: BUST. Projection: 8.0 pts (within [3-13]).
Context: O/U: 40.5 | Def Rank: 7 | ECR: 23
MC (Historical): BUST: 63% | MODERATE: 26% | BOOM: 11%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 54% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 12.5 | 3.9 | ? | -8.6 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 14.0 | 6.1 | ? | -7.9 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 16.0 | 8.4 | ? | -7.6 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 13.5 | 28.9 | ? | +15.4 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 16.3 | 6.7 | ? | -9.6 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 14.6 | 10.8 | ? | -3.8 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 13.6 | 8.7 | ? | -4.9 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 13.4 | 19.5 | ? | +6.1 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 12.9 | 17.1 | ? | +4.2 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 11.0 | 19.8 | ? | +8.8 |
Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 6.0 (BUST)
Reasoning: ECR: TE27 SIT. MC: 52% BUST prob. Now with DEN, splits reps with Trautman/Adkins. 6.0 within BUST [2.4-8.4]. Avoid unless desperate at TE.
Context: O/U: 44.0 | Def Rank: 16 | ECR: 27
MC (Historical): BUST: 52% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 8%
XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 26% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 8.3 | 7.3 | ? | -1.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 7.3 | 3.2 | ? | -4.1 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 7.9 | 0.0 | ? | -7.9 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 9.9 | 7.6 | ? | -2.3 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 9.3 | 9.2 | ? | -0.1 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 8.9 | 9.9 | ? | +1.0 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 7.7 | 13.3 | ? | +5.6 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 6.2 | 6.9 | ? | +0.7 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 8.9 | 2.2 | ? | -6.7 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 9.9 | 5.1 | ? | -4.8 |
Projections: ESPN 9.7 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 28% BUST, 35% MOD, 36% BOOM. XGB: 24% boom, 29% bust. Johnson has 18-208-2 in last 4 games with Shough. 27.8% boom chance leads TEs. Questionable (knee) but expected to play. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 10.0 pts (within [6-12]).
Context: O/U: 42.5 | Def Rank: 16 | ECR: 6
MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 35% | BOOM: 36%
XGB (This Week): Boom 24% | Bust 29% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 9.3 | 10.6 | ? | +1.3 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 8.9 | 19.2 | ? | +10.2 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 8.3 | 12.1 | ? | +3.8 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: Patriots on BYE Week 14. Mode: BUST. Projection: 0.0 pts.
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 60% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 17.6 | LLM 16.5
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%
XGB (This Week): Boom 27% | Bust 23%
Notes: MC: 29% BUST, 47% MOD, 24% BOOM. XGB: 28% boom, 24% bust. Love has 2+ TDs in 3 of last 6. vs CHI (22nd vs passing). BUT SEVERE WEATHER: 15F kickoff, wind chill near 0, snow possible. Cold weather risk. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 16.5 pts (within [9-24]).
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 17.4 | 7.1 | ? | -10.4 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 16.3 | 17.7 | ? | +1.3 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 17.0 | 7.8 | ? | -9.1 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 18.1 | 9.0 | ? | -9.1 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 17.1 | 28.3 | ? | +11.2 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 17.4 | 13.4 | ? | -4.0 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 19.3 | 15.0 | ? | -4.4 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 18.6 | 26.3 | ? | +7.7 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 16.0 | 11.1 | ? | -4.9 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 17.6 | 20.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 14.9 | 15.9 | ? | +1.0 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM 11.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 52%
Notes: MC: 50% BUST, 33% MOD, 17% BOOM. XGB: 11% boom, 54% bust. With Kyler OUT, Brissett targets McMillan heavily. vs LAR (tough). Young WR still developing. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 11.0 pts (within [7-21]).
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 16.3 | 11.5 | ? | -4.8 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 13.5 | 33.0 | ? | +19.5 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 12.2 | 11.0 | ? | -1.2 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 12.9 | 8.6 | ? | -4.3 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 13.4 | 16.9 | ? | +3.5 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 12.5 | 6.3 | ? | -6.2 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 14.6 | 17.9 | ? | +3.3 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 14.2 | 13.3 | ? | -0.9 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 14.2 | 10.2 | ? | -4.0 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 13.2 | 7.8 | ? | -5.4 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 13.5 | 16.0 | ? | +2.5 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 13.9 | 11.8 | ? | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 6.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 52% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 8%
XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 26%
Notes: ECR: TE27 SIT. MC: 52% BUST prob. Now with DEN, splits reps with Trautman/Adkins. 6.0 within BUST [2.4-8.4]. Avoid unless desperate at TE.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 8.3 | 7.3 | ? | -1.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 7.3 | 3.2 | ? | -4.1 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 7.9 | 0.0 | ? | -7.9 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 9.9 | 7.6 | ? | -2.3 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 9.3 | 9.2 | ? | -0.1 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 8.9 | 9.9 | ? | +1.0 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 7.7 | 13.3 | ? | +5.6 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 6.2 | 6.9 | ? | +0.7 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 8.9 | 2.2 | ? | -6.7 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 9.9 | 5.1 | ? | -4.8 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): OUT: 100%
XGB (This Week): Boom 37% | Bust 20%
Notes: MHJ OUT for remainder of 2025 season per reports. Mode: BUST. Projection: 0.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 13.3 | 14.3 | ? | +1.0 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 13.3 | 22.6 | ? | +9.3 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 12.5 | 7.8 | ? | -4.7 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 11.9 | 5.2 | ? | -6.7 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 12.8 | 13.8 | ? | +1.0 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 11.3 | 18.6 | ? | +7.3 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 12.7 | 7.4 | ? | -5.3 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 14.0 | 4.7 | ? | -9.3 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 13.9 | 18.1 | ? | +4.2 |
Projections: ESPN 12.1 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 31%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 57%
Notes: Hampton practiced FULL Friday per Reddit. BUT traded from CAR to LAC mid-season. Still working into offense. vs KC. Mode: BUST until clearer role. Projection: 0.0 pts (IR status).
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 11 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | 0.0 | ? | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 6.1 | LLM 6.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 29% | BOOM: 23%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 50%
Notes: MC: 49% BUST, 29% MOD, 23% BOOM. XGB: 13% boom, 50% bust. Wilson is RB3 behind Josh Jacobs. SEVERE WEATHER may help run game but limited touches expected. Mode: BUST. Projection: 6.0 pts (within [0-8]).
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wookie of the Year | 14.5 | 26.5 | ? | +12.0 |
Projections: ESPN 10.5 | LLM 8.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 63% | MODERATE: 26% | BOOM: 11%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 54%
Notes: MC: 63% BUST, 26% MOD, 11% BOOM. XGB: 10% boom, 54% bust. Allen has 63% historical bust rate. Herbert injured (wrist surgery), may not play. If Trey Lance starts, massive downgrade. Mode: BUST. Projection: 8.0 pts (within [3-13]).
| Week | Opp | Proj | Actual | Mode | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 12.5 | 3.9 | ? | -8.6 |
| 9 | The Warsaw Pact | 14.0 | 6.1 | ? | -7.9 |
| 8 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 16.0 | 8.4 | ? | -7.6 |
| 7 | Moms rules | 13.5 | 28.9 | ? | +15.4 |
| 6 | Smooth Roosters | 16.3 | 6.7 | ? | -9.6 |
| 5 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 14.6 | 10.8 | ? | -3.8 |
| 4 | Auto DraftKings | 13.6 | 8.7 | ? | -4.9 |
| 3 | Meat Pistols | 13.4 | 19.5 | ? | +6.1 |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 12.9 | 17.1 | ? | +4.2 |
| 1 | Wookie of the Year | 11.0 | 19.8 | ? | +8.8 |
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 60%
Notes: Patriots on BYE Week 14. Mode: BUST. Projection: 0.0 pts.
Patrick Mahomes (QB): 48% boom probability
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% | Threat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | 17.9 | 20.1 | MODERATE | 48% | 37% | 16% | HIGH | |
| Malik Washington | WR | 8.4 | 8.2 | MODERATE | 27% | 46% | 27% | MEDIUM | |
| DJ Moore | WR | 9.1 | 11.9 | MODERATE | 23% | 52% | 25% | MEDIUM | |
| Keon Coleman | WR | 6.7 | 9.2 | MODERATE | 15% | 55% | 30% | LOW | |
| Ray Davis | RB | 0.0 | 0.0 | BUST | 13% | 36% | 51% | LOW | |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | 3.2 | 7.8 | BUST | 12% | 34% | 54% | LOW | |
| Vikings D/ST | D/ST | 5.2 | 6.3 | MODERATE | 12% | 42% | 46% | LOW | |
| Nick Chubb | RB | 5.3 | 7.5 | BUST | 11% | 27% | 62% | LOW | |
| Brandon Aubrey | K | 8.9 | 8.9 | BUST | 11% | 26% | 63% | LOW | |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 10.0 | 9.6 | BUST | 10% | 34% | 57% | LOW |
Patrick Mahomes: MC (BUST: 26% | MODERATE: 27% | BOOM: 47%) | XGB (Boom 48% | Bust 16%)
Malik Washington: MC (BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 48% | BOOM: 27%) | XGB (Boom 27% | Bust 27%)
DJ Moore: MC (BUST: 64% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 2%) | XGB (Boom 23% | Bust 25%)
Keon Coleman: MC (BUST: 45% | MODERATE: 42% | BOOM: 13%) | XGB (Boom 15% | Bust 30%)
Ray Davis: MC (BUST: 46% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 15%) | XGB (Boom 13% | Bust 51%)
Ollie Gordon II: MC (BUST: 46% | MODERATE: 36% | BOOM: 18%) | XGB (Boom 12% | Bust 54%)
Vikings D/ST: MC (BUST: 48% | MODERATE: 38% | BOOM: 14%) | XGB (Boom 12% | Bust 46%)
Nick Chubb: MC (BUST: 55% | MODERATE: 35% | BOOM: 11%) | XGB (Boom 11% | Bust 62%)
Brandon Aubrey: MC (BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 50% | BOOM: 18%) | XGB (Boom 11% | Bust 63%)
Dalton Kincaid: MC (BUST: 33% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 33%) | XGB (Boom 10% | Bust 57%)
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 11.8 | 42% | 20% | 0.0% | |
| Michael Badgley | K | 8.1 | 33% | 42% | 0.0% | |
| Evan Engram | TE | 9.3 | 32% | 22% | 0.0% | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | K | 9.7 | 28% | 31% | 0.0% | |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | 0.0 | 28% | 33% | 0.0% | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 8.7 | 28% | 26% | 0.0% | |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 14.1 | 27% | 39% | 0.0% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | 8.7 | 27% | 26% | 0.0% | |
| Chiefs D/ST | D/ST | 5.9 | 26% | 31% | 0.0% | |
| Patriots D/ST | D/ST | 7.2 | 22% | 43% | 0.0% | |
| Trey Benson | RB | 8.2 | 21% | 37% | 0.0% | |
| Aaron Rodgers | QB | 15.3 | 19% | 50% | 0.0% | |
| Commanders D/ST | D/ST | 0.0 | 19% | 43% | 0.0% | |
| Matthew Golden | WR | 8.6 | 18% | 46% | 0.0% | |
| Evan McPherson | K | 8.3 | 17% | 53% | 0.0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Rodgers | 15.3 | BUST:50%, MODERATE:30%, BOOM:19% | 19% | 50% | |
| Kyler Murray | 17.2 | BUST:18%, MODERATE:54%, BOOM:29% | 14% | 45% | |
| Justin Fields | 0.0 | OUT:100% | 14% | 49% | |
| Sam Darnold | 15.4 | BUST:38%, MODERATE:40%, BOOM:22% | 13% | 41% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 11.8 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:39%, BOOM:12% | 42% | 20% | |
| Tyler Allgeier | 0.0 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:35%, BOOM:16% | 28% | 33% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | 8.7 | BUST:61%, MODERATE:32%, BOOM:7% | 27% | 26% | |
| Trey Benson | 8.2 | BUST:36%, MODERATE:40%, BOOM:25% | 21% | 37% | |
| Devin Neal | 8.7 | BUST:29%, MODERATE:41%, BOOM:30% | 15% | 47% | |
| Chuba Hubbard | 10.9 | BUST:26%, MODERATE:50%, BOOM:24% | 14% | 49% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 9.0 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:36%, BOOM:16% | 9% | 58% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 14.1 | BUST:40%, MODERATE:42%, BOOM:19% | 27% | 39% | |
| Matthew Golden | 8.6 | BUST:42%, MODERATE:28%, BOOM:30% | 18% | 46% | |
| Cooper Kupp | 10.3 | BUST:49%, MODERATE:33%, BOOM:17% | 12% | 58% | |
| Tre Tucker | 10.1 | BUST:55%, MODERATE:39%, BOOM:6% | 9% | 42% | |
| Jayden Reed | 11.5 | BUST:37%, MODERATE:53%, BOOM:10% | 0% | 0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 9.3 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:45%, BOOM:7% | 32% | 22% | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 8.7 | BUST:24%, MODERATE:53%, BOOM:23% | 28% | 26% | |
| Colston Loveland | 9.3 | BUST:44%, MODERATE:38%, BOOM:18% | 8% | 56% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Badgley | 8.1 | 33% | 42% | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 9.7 | 28% | 31% | |
| Evan McPherson | 8.3 | 17% | 53% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs D/ST | 5.9 | 26% | 31% | |
| Patriots D/ST | 7.2 | 22% | 43% | |
| Commanders D/ST | 0.0 | 19% | 43% |
Win Probability
Floor: -9.6 pts | Median: +29.1 pts | Ceiling: +67.9 pts
When opponent starters are injured, the system models likely bench substitutions to provide more accurate win probability estimates. (ESPN projections shown - LLM projections only available for our team)
| Position | Injured Starter | Status | ESPN Proj | Replacement | Repl ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | Dalton Kincaid | QUESTIONABLE | 12.2 | Sam LaPorta | 11.9 |
Win probability weighted across multiple injury scenarios.
| Scenario | Probability | Opp Total EV | Win Prob | Expected Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All injured starters play | 85.0% | 89.6 | 83.6% | +29.2 |
| All injured starters out | 15.0% | 91.4 | 81.9% | +27.4 |
Key: Click any row to view full histogram. ↑15+ = P(≥15pts) | ↓5- = P(<5pts)
Variance: HIGH CV>0.5 (boom/bust) | MED CV>0.3 (moderate) | LOW CV≤0.3 (consistent)
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | MED | 20.0 | 4.5-28.2 | ↑15+: 66% | ↓5-: 11% | |
| Bucky Irving | RB | MED | 15.0 | 4.7-24.5 | ↑15+: 45% | ↓5-: 11% | |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | HIGH | 9.0 | 2.2-20.1 | ↑15+: 21% | ↓5-: 26% | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | HIGH | 18.0 | 5.7-29.9 | ↑15+: 58% | ↓5-: 6% | |
| Rashee Rice | WR | MED | 16.0 | 7.1-27.9 | ↑15+: 61% | ↓5-: 3% | |
| Jameson Williams | WR | HIGH | 17.3 | 4.1-25.6 | ↑15+: 47% | ↓5-: 15% | |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | HIGH | 10.0 | 2.5-16.9 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 24% | |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 8.0 | 0.0-17.6 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 44% | |
| Jason Myers | K | MED | 9.0 | 4.6-16.4 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 13% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | QB | MED | 16.5 | 6.5-27.8 | ↑15+: 54% | ↓5-: 5% | |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | HIGH | 0.0 | 2.5-24.0 | ↑15+: 35% | ↓5-: 23% | |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | HIGH | 6.0 | 0.4-20.0 | ↑15+: 23% | ↓5-: 44% | |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | HIGH | 11.0 | 4.9-25.9 | ↑15+: 28% | ↓5-: 11% | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | LOW | 0.0 | 0.0-0.0 | ↑15+: 0% | ↓5-: 100% | |
| Keenan Allen | WR | HIGH | 8.0 | 4.5-25.6 | ↑15+: 33% | ↓5-: 15% | |
| Hunter Henry | TE | HIGH | 0.0 | 3.4-22.1 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 27% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | MED | 20.2 | 9.8-31.4 | ↑15+: 68% | ↓5-: 0% | |
| Nick Chubb | RB | HIGH | 7.5 | 1.6-15.9 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 44% | |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | HIGH | 7.7 | 0.4-17.3 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 42% | |
| DJ Moore | WR | HIGH | 11.8 | 4.2-22.8 | ↑15+: 33% | ↓5-: 18% | |
| Keon Coleman | WR | HIGH | 9.2 | 2.6-18.6 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 31% | |
| Malik Washington | WR | HIGH | 8.3 | 2.1-15.8 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 32% | |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | HIGH | 9.6 | 2.7-18.5 | ↑15+: 22% | ↓5-: 29% | |
| Vikings D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 6.3 | 0.0-21.0 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 59% | |
| Brandon Aubrey | K | HIGH | 9.0 | 3.3-16.6 | ↑15+: 14% | ↓5-: 23% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | HIGH | 14.9 | 3.6-26.8 | ↑15+: 48% | ↓5-: 17% | |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | MED | 22.3 | 11.4-35.1 | ↑15+: 71% | ↓5-: 0% | |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | HIGH | 10.3 | 2.2-20.9 | ↑15+: 25% | ↓5-: 31% | |
| Ray Davis | RB | HIGH | 6.8 | 0.2-16.1 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 48% | |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | HIGH | 11.4 | 3.5-19.8 | ↑15+: 31% | ↓5-: 20% | |
| Packers D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 6.8 | 0.0-15.8 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 47% | |
| Chris Boswell | K | HIGH | 8.4 | 1.9-15.6 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 31% |
| Player | Position | BOOM | MODERATE | BUST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | RB | 22% @ 23.8 | 61% @ 14.0 | 17% @ 4.3 | 14.6 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 23% @ 29.4 | 43% @ 18.6 | 34% @ 7.2 | 17.1 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 47% @ 24.2 | 29% @ 15.7 | 25% @ 7.9 | 17.8 |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | 18% @ 20.4 | 61% @ 8.9 | 20% @ 3.0 | 9.8 |
| Jason Myers | K | 22% @ 15.9 | 44% @ 11.2 | 34% @ 5.8 | 10.3 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 36% @ 14.7 | 35% @ 9.2 | 28% @ 3.6 | 9.6 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 26% @ 24.0 | 41% @ 15.2 | 33% @ 5.6 | 14.4 |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 70% @ 21.7 | 5% @ 14.8 | 24% @ 6.0 | 17.5 |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | 23% @ 16.3 | 40% @ 8.0 | 37% @ 1.3 | 7.5 |
No urgent moves needed. Consider streaming options if needing upside - Harold Fannin Jr. (TE, CLE) has 27.5% boom probability.
This tab logs discrepancies detected during the weekly analysis process.
No discrepancies detected this week.